Trade Central

Why Trump’s Rate Cut Push Mirrors Nixon’s Inflationary Mistake

As Donald Trump demands immediate Fed rate cuts, a growing chorus of economists warns the U.S. may be repeating one of the most catastrophic monetary policy errors in history – Nixon’s politically-driven easing that unleashed 1970s stagflation. The Parallels: Metric 1972 2025 Core Inflation 3.4% 4.2% Wage Growth 6.1% 5.3% Oil Prices +88% YoY +34% […]

Made in China 2025 at the Crossroads: Successes, Shortfalls and the New Tech Cold War

When China unveiled its Made in China 2025 strategy in 2015, the plan was met with awe and anxiety. With its aim to leapfrog into high-value manufacturing, it was a roadmap for global dominance in key industries—and a clarion call to its rivals. Setting the Stage For decades, China dominated in volume, not value. MIC […]

Tesla Earnings: Cybertruck Hype vs. Reality – Will Margins Improve?

Tesla’s Q1 earnings will test investor patience as Elon Musk balances Cybertruck production hell against fading EV demand. Key metrics to watch: Bear Case: Bull Case:

Tariff Shock” Looms: S&P 500 Futures Plunge 2.8% as Trump’s 32% Plan Rattles Investors

Financial markets plunged into turmoil overnight as leaked Treasury documents confirmed Trump’s radical tariff proposal—a 32% across-the-board levy that triggered the largest repricing of global risk assets since the 2020 pandemic crash. The selloff was immediate and brutal: Sectors most exposed to China trade bore the brunt: The moves reflect market panic over what analysts […]

Wall Street’s Bitcoin Embrace Intensifies: ETF Inflows Hit $1.4B Amid Market Turmoil

Institutional investors are piling into Bitcoin at unprecedented levels, with spot ETF inflows accounting for 78% of BTC’s recent price surge. Key developments: • BlackRock’s IBIT saw $420M inflow Wednesday• Fidelity’s FBTC trading at 1.8x average volume• Ark/21Shares ETF premium hit 2.3% “These flows reflect a structural shift,” noted Galaxy’s Mike Novogratz. Behind the numbers:✓ Pension funds allocating 0.5-1.5% to crypto✓ […]

Trump’s Chip War Threat Casts Shadow Over TSMC’s Record $9.2B Quarterly Profit

While TSMC celebrated a 60% profit surge, analysts focused on the looming policy risks that could derail its dominance: Threat Matrix:• 25% tariff proposal on advanced chips• Stalled Arizona fab subsidies ($28B at risk)• China export ban on 16nm+ technology “TSMC is caught in the crossfire,” said Bernstein’s Mark Li. Contingency plans include:✓ Accelerating Japanese […]

Tariffs Take Toll: How New U.S. Duties Slashed China’s Q1 Growth Prospects

The Biden administration’s 25% tariffs on $370B of Chinese goods directly shaved 0.8% off China’s Q1 GDP growth, according to Morgan Stanley estimates. Sector-specific damage: • Electronics: $42B in canceled orders• EV batteries: 15% production cuts• Solar panels: Inventory glut at 9-month high “These tariffs hit China’s modern export pillars,” said TS Lombard’s Rory Green. The collateral damage:✓ […]

Sticky Inflation Sparks Treasury Carnage – Why the Fed May Stay Hawkish

Persistent inflation has torpedoed bond markets, with the latest CPI print triggering a $1.2 trillion wipeout in Treasury values. The damage was worst in: • Long-dated bonds: 30-year yields up 45bps• TIPS: Breakevens hit 2.83%, highest since 2023• Munis: AAA 10-year yields crossed 4% threshold “The last mile of inflation is proving hardest,” noted PIMCO’s Marc Seidner, Highlighting:✓ […]

Shell-BP Merger Talks Resurface: Could Create $210B Energy Behemoth

Shell has quietly revived merger discussions with BP, according to three banking sources familiar with the matter. A potential union would create the world’s second-largest energy company by market cap ($210B), with particular strengths in: • Liquefied Natural Gas (32M tonnes/year capacity)• Offshore wind (combined 15GW pipeline)• Carbon capture (9 major projects underway) Deal structure […]

Sony’s Bold Pricing Power Play: Why PS5 Costs Are Rising Despite Record Sales

Sony has defied market expectations by announcing PlayStation 5 price increases across Europe, making this strategic gamble immediately after reporting record sales of 8.2 million units last quarter. The 15% increase reveals: • Console gaming’s recession-resistant demand• Sony’s confidence in PlayStation brand loyalty• Willingness to sacrifice some volume for profitability Market data shows:✓ PS5 holds […]